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The job market was bruising in 2025. The start of 2026 doesn't look much better.

February 8, 2026 - 22:59

The job market was bruising in 2025. The start of 2026 doesn't look much better.

A slew of data releases this past week suggested that at the start of 2026, the job market remained stuck at best — and flashed further signs of splintering at worst. This disappointing trajectory extends the bruising conditions experienced throughout much of 2025, dashing hopes for a robust new-year rebound.

Key indicators from January point to a persistent slowdown. Hiring has cooled significantly across several major sectors, with notable contractions in technology, manufacturing, and professional services. The unemployment rate has ticked upward for a second consecutive month, while the number of new jobless claims remains elevated. Furthermore, wage growth has moderated, adding to financial pressures on households already grappling with a high cost of living.

Economists note that employer caution appears to be deepening. Many companies are delaying expansion plans and new hires amid ongoing economic uncertainty and tighter financial conditions. This hesitancy is creating a self-reinforcing cycle of weaker consumer spending and muted business investment.

The persistent softness in the labor market is now the primary concern for policymakers, who are under increasing pressure to balance the fight against inflation with the need to support employment. With few signs of immediate improvement on the horizon, the outlook for workers in the first quarter remains challenging.


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